Primary read

elo diff (-11.8%)

Narrative

Denver is a heavy favorite on the road at 86%. The model sees a significant gap between these two teams. Denver's Elo rating of -429 marks them as the stronger squad on paper. Denver has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Utah is dishing 30.9 APG recently — their ball movement has been sharp. Utah Jazz is down 8 rotation players, including Lauri Markkanen, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 46%, while denver Nuggets is down 2 rotation players, including Aaron Gordon, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 93%.

Key factors

Game info

Slate metadata