Apr 3, 2026regularTier-one edge
CHI
Chicago Bulls
VS@
NYK
New York Knicks
CHI 19%81% NYK
Model pick
NYK (81% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+14.2%)
Narrative
New York is a heavy favorite at home at 81%. The model sees a significant gap between these two teams. New York has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). New York's Elo rating of 363 marks them as the stronger squad on paper. Chicago has been outscoring opponents by -7.2 PPG — a meaningful recent edge. Chicago Bulls is down 3 rotation players, including Tre Jones, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 77%.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 13.70
+14.2%
elo diff
Value: 363.48
+8.9%
Points scored diff (10g)
Value: -7.20
-2.7%
Game info
DateApr 3, 2026
MatchupCHI @ NYK
Model pickNYK
Confidence81%
Home win prob81%
Game ID0022501123
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 3, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:45 PM
Games in slate9