Primary read

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-10.4%)

Narrative

The model is fairly confident in Toronto, giving them a 78% chance to win on the road. Toronto has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). By Elo (-248), Toronto is the more proven team heading into this matchup. Toronto holds a defensive edge, allowing 11.7 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. Memphis Grizzlies is down 10 rotation players, including Ja Morant, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 43%.

Key factors

Game info

Slate metadata