Apr 7, 2026regularTier-one edge
CHI
Chicago Bulls
VS@
WAS
Washington Wizards
CHI 71%29% WAS
Model pick
CHI (71% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-14.4%)
Narrative
The model favors Chicago on the road with a 71% win probability. Chicago has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). By Elo (-75), Chicago is the more proven team heading into this matchup. Washington is only giving it away 16.8 times per game, keeping possessions clean. Washington Wizards is down 7 rotation players, including Trae Young, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 54%, while chicago Bulls is down 6 rotation players, including Collin Sexton, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 53%.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -5.47
-14.4%
elo diff
Value: -74.82
-1.6%
Home net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) (5g)
Value: -20.21
-1.3%
Game info
DateApr 7, 2026
MatchupCHI @ WAS
Model pickCHI
Confidence71%
Home win prob29%
Game ID0022501148
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 7, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate10