Apr 7, 2026regular
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
VS@
BOS
Boston Celtics
CHA 54%46% BOS
Model pick
CHA (54% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-6.0%)
Narrative
Neither team has a clear edge here. The model puts Boston's home win probability at 46%. Charlotte has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Charlotte holds a defensive edge, allowing 2.0 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. Charlotte Hornets is down 2 rotation players, including Coby White, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 90%.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -2.83
-6.0%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: 2.00
-3.6%
Home net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) (5g)
Value: 13.40
+1.8%
Game info
DateApr 7, 2026
MatchupCHA @ BOS
Model pickCHA
Confidence54%
Home win prob46%
Game ID0022501149
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 7, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate10