Apr 7, 2026regular
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
VS@
IND
Indiana Pacers
MIN 42%58% IND
Model pick
IND (58% confidence)
Primary read
Home effective field goal percentage (10g) (+11.7%)
Narrative
Indiana has a slight edge at home at 58%, though Minnesota is within striking distance. Indiana has an edge in home effective field goal percentage (10g). Minnesota carries a stronger Elo rating (-227), reflecting a higher overall caliber of play. Indiana Pacers is missing Pascal Siakam, its top scorer, and 5 other rotation players, which materially cuts into its scoring depth, while minnesota Timberwolves is missing Anthony Edwards, its top scorer, and 1 other rotation player, which materially cuts into its scoring depth.
Key factors
Home effective field goal percentage (10g)
Value: 0.61
+11.7%
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -8.21
-7.9%
elo diff
Value: -226.84
-6.4%
Game info
DateApr 7, 2026
MatchupMIN @ IND
Model pickIND
Confidence58%
Home win prob58%
Game ID0022501152
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 7, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate10