Apr 7, 2026regular
UTA
Utah Jazz
VS@
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
UTA 33%67% NOP
Model pick
NOP (67% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+15.4%)
Narrative
New Orleans looks solid at home — the model gives them a 67% chance to take this one. New Orleans has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). By Elo (199), New Orleans is the more proven team heading into this matchup. New Orleans Pelicans is down 4 rotation players, including Trey Murphy III, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 63%, while utah Jazz is down 8 rotation players, including Lauri Markkanen, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 40%.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 8.50
+15.4%
elo diff
Value: 199.40
+8.2%
Home true shooting percentage (5g)
Value: 0.54
-2.9%
Game info
DateApr 7, 2026
MatchupUTA @ NOP
Model pickNOP
Confidence67%
Home win prob67%
Game ID0022501153
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 7, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate10