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Apr 9, 2026regular
CHI logo
CHI
Chicago Bulls
VS@
WAS logo
WAS
Washington Wizards
CHI 65%35% WAS
CHI logo
Model pick
CHI (65% confidence)

Primary read

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-13.6%)

Narrative

The model favors Chicago on the road with a 65% win probability. Chicago has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Washington has been locking in defensively, holding opponents to 128.0 PPG recently. Washington Wizards is down 8 rotation players, including Trae Young, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 47%, while chicago Bulls is down 7 rotation players, including Collin Sexton, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 48%.

Key factors

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -9.24
-13.6%
Away points allowed (10g)
Value: 128.00
+4.9%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: 3.60
-2.5%

Game info

DateApr 9, 2026
MatchupCHI @ WAS
Model pickCHI
Confidence65%
Home win prob35%
Game ID0022501166

Slate metadata

Slate dateApr 9, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate6