Apr 9, 2026regular
CHI
Chicago Bulls
VS@
WAS
Washington Wizards
CHI 65%35% WAS
Model pick
CHI (65% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-13.6%)
Narrative
The model favors Chicago on the road with a 65% win probability. Chicago has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Washington has been locking in defensively, holding opponents to 128.0 PPG recently. Washington Wizards is down 8 rotation players, including Trae Young, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 47%, while chicago Bulls is down 7 rotation players, including Collin Sexton, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 48%.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -9.24
-13.6%
Away points allowed (10g)
Value: 128.00
+4.9%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: 3.60
-2.5%
Game info
DateApr 9, 2026
MatchupCHI @ WAS
Model pickCHI
Confidence65%
Home win prob35%
Game ID0022501166
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 9, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate6