Apr 9, 2026regular
IND
Indiana Pacers
VS@
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
IND 58%42% BKN
Model pick
IND (58% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-6.9%)
Narrative
The model leans toward Indiana (58%) on the road, but it is a competitive matchup. Indiana has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Brooklyn has been the stingier side recently, giving up -11.2 fewer PPG head-to-head. Brooklyn Nets is missing Michael Porter Jr., its top scorer, and 9 other rotation players, which materially cuts into its scoring depth, while indiana Pacers is missing Pascal Siakam, its top scorer, and 5 other rotation players, which materially cuts into its scoring depth.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -2.52
-6.9%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -11.20
+4.6%
Home rebounds (10g)
Value: 33.30
-2.0%
Game info
DateApr 9, 2026
MatchupIND @ BKN
Model pickIND
Confidence58%
Home win prob42%
Game ID0022501167
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 9, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate6