Apr 10, 2026regular
DET
Detroit Pistons
VS@
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
DET 49%51% CHA
Model pick
CHA (51% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-9.2%)
Narrative
This one is tight — Charlotte gets a slim 51% at home, but it could go either way. Detroit has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Charlotte holds a defensive edge, allowing -5.2 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. Charlotte Hornets is down 2 rotation players, including Tidjane Salaün, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 90%.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 0.33
-9.2%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -5.20
+5.0%
Home net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) (5g)
Value: 13.87
+1.8%
Game info
DateApr 10, 2026
MatchupDET @ CHA
Model pickCHA
Confidence51%
Home win prob51%
Game ID0022501171
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 10, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate15