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Apr 10, 2026regularTier-one edge
NOP logo
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
VS@
BOS logo
BOS
Boston Celtics
NOP 17%83% BOS
BOS logo
Model pick
BOS (83% confidence)

Primary read

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+13.6%)

Narrative

This is one of the stronger calls on the slate — Boston at 83% at home. Boston has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Boston carries a stronger Elo rating (340), reflecting a higher overall caliber of play. Boston holds a defensive edge, allowing -12.8 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. Boston Celtics is missing Jaylen Brown, and its projected scoring availability is only 82%, while new Orleans Pelicans is missing Saddiq Bey, its top scorer, and 7 other rotation players, which materially cuts into its scoring depth.

Key factors

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 7.44
+13.6%
elo diff
Value: 340.02
+9.9%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -12.80
+2.7%

Game info

DateApr 10, 2026
MatchupNOP @ BOS
Model pickBOS
Confidence83%
Home win prob83%
Game ID0022501174

Slate metadata

Slate dateApr 10, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate15