Apr 10, 2026regularTier-one edge
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
VS@
BOS
Boston Celtics
NOP 17%83% BOS
Model pick
BOS (83% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+13.6%)
Narrative
This is one of the stronger calls on the slate — Boston at 83% at home. Boston has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Boston carries a stronger Elo rating (340), reflecting a higher overall caliber of play. Boston holds a defensive edge, allowing -12.8 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. Boston Celtics is missing Jaylen Brown, and its projected scoring availability is only 82%, while new Orleans Pelicans is missing Saddiq Bey, its top scorer, and 7 other rotation players, which materially cuts into its scoring depth.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 7.44
+13.6%
elo diff
Value: 340.02
+9.9%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -12.80
+2.7%
Game info
DateApr 10, 2026
MatchupNOP @ BOS
Model pickBOS
Confidence83%
Home win prob83%
Game ID0022501174
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 10, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate15