Apr 10, 2026regular
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
VS@
IND
Indiana Pacers
PHI 46%54% IND
Model pick
IND (54% confidence)
Primary read
Home effective field goal percentage (10g) (+10.1%)
Narrative
This one is tight — Indiana gets a slim 54% at home, but it could go either way. Indiana has an edge in home effective field goal percentage (10g). Philadelphia carries a stronger Elo rating (-207), reflecting a higher overall caliber of play. Indiana Pacers is missing Pascal Siakam, its top scorer, and 5 other rotation players, which materially cuts into its scoring depth, while philadelphia 76ers is missing Joel Embiid, its top scorer, and 2 other rotation players, which materially cuts into its scoring depth.
Key factors
Home effective field goal percentage (10g)
Value: 0.60
+10.1%
elo diff
Value: -207.25
-5.9%
Home true shooting percentage (10g)
Value: 0.63
+5.5%
Game info
DateApr 10, 2026
MatchupPHI @ IND
Model pickIND
Confidence54%
Home win prob54%
Game ID0022501175
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 10, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate15