Apr 10, 2026regular
MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
VS@
UTA
Utah Jazz
MEM 43%57% UTA
Model pick
UTA (57% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+17.0%)
Narrative
Utah has a slight edge at home at 57%, though Memphis is within striking distance. Utah has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Memphis holds a defensive edge, allowing 5.5 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. Utah Jazz is missing Brice Sensabaugh, its top scorer, and 8 other rotation players, which materially cuts into its scoring depth, while memphis Grizzlies is down 13 rotation players, including Ja Morant, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 26%.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 4.86
+17.0%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: 5.50
-4.7%
Away defensive rating (points allowed per 100 possessions) (10g)
Value: 127.77
+2.7%
Game info
DateApr 10, 2026
MatchupMEM @ UTA
Model pickUTA
Confidence57%
Home win prob57%
Game ID0022501181
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 10, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:46 PM
Games in slate15