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Apr 12, 2026regular
CHA logo
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
VS@
NYK logo
NYK
New York Knicks
CHA 60%40% NYK
CHA logo
Model pick
CHA (60% confidence)

Primary read

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-8.1%)

Narrative

The model gives Charlotte a 60% edge on the road — not a blowout call, but a clear lean. Charlotte has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). New York has been efficient overall at 5.2% FG%, finding good looks consistently. Injury news has shifted the line toward Charlotte (-4% swing): NYK: 7 rotation players out (pts_share: 0.29). New York Knicks is missing Jalen Brunson, its top scorer, and 6 other rotation players, which materially cuts into its scoring depth.

Key factors

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -0.10
-8.1%
Field goal percentage diff (10g)
Value: 0.05
+6.5%
Home estimated possessions per game (10g)
Value: 95.02
-4.4%

Game info

DateApr 12, 2026
MatchupCHA @ NYK
Model pickCHA
Confidence60%
Home win prob40%
Game ID0022501190

Slate metadata

Slate dateApr 12, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:47 PM
Games in slate15