Apr 12, 2026regular
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
VS@
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
MIL 31%69% PHI
Model pick
PHI (69% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+13.0%)
Narrative
Philadelphia looks solid at home — the model gives them a 69% chance to take this one. Philadelphia has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Philadelphia carries a stronger Elo rating (230), reflecting a higher overall caliber of play. Philadelphia 76ers is missing Joel Embiid, its top scorer, and 1 other rotation player, which materially cuts into its scoring depth, while milwaukee Bucks is missing Giannis Antetokounmpo, its top scorer, and 8 other rotation players, which materially cuts into its scoring depth.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 11.05
+13.0%
elo diff
Value: 230.46
+12.4%
Home three-point percentage (5g)
Value: 0.29
-3.2%
Game info
DateApr 12, 2026
MatchupMIL @ PHI
Model pickPHI
Confidence69%
Home win prob69%
Game ID0022501191
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 12, 2026
GeneratedApr 16, 8:47 PM
Games in slate15