Apr 22, 2026playoffTier-one edge
ORL
Orlando Magic
VS@
DET
Detroit Pistons
ORL 25%75% DET
Model pick
DET (75% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+9.2%)
Narrative
The model favors Detroit at home with a 75% win probability. Detroit has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Detroit holds a defensive edge, allowing -2.3 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. Detroit has been shooting 29.6% from three recently, stretching defenses.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 13.84
+9.2%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -2.30
+2.2%
Away three-point percentage (5g)
Value: 0.30
+1.2%
Game info
DateApr 22, 2026
MatchupORL @ DET
Model pickDET
Confidence75%
Home win prob75%
Game ID0042500102
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 22, 2026
GeneratedApr 22, 9:34 PM
Games in slate2