May 1, 2026playoff
DET
Detroit Pistons
VS@
ORL
Orlando Magic
DET 53%47% ORL
Model pick
DET (53% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-17.3%)
Narrative
This one is tight — Orlando gets a slim 47% at home, but it could go either way. Detroit has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Orlando is hitting 28.9% from deep in recent games, giving them an added dimension. Injury news has shifted the line toward Detroit (-4% swing): ORL: 1 rotation players out (pts_share: 0.84). Orlando Magic is missing Franz Wagner, and its projected scoring availability is only 84%.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -9.87
-17.3%
Away three-point percentage (5g)
Value: 0.29
+4.6%
home elo
Value: 1651.34
+3.0%
Game info
DateMay 1, 2026
MatchupDET @ ORL
Model pickDET
Confidence53%
Home win prob47%
Game ID0042500106
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 1, 2026
GeneratedMay 1, 9:33 PM
Games in slate4