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Apr 21, 2026playoffTier-one edge
PHI logo
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
VS@
BOS logo
BOS
Boston Celtics
PHI 19%81% BOS
BOS logo
Model pick
BOS (81% confidence)

Primary read

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+7.3%)

Narrative

The model is fairly confident in Boston, giving them a 81% chance to win at home. Boston has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Boston is hitting 28.5% from deep in recent games, giving them an added dimension. By Elo (1755), Boston is the more proven team heading into this matchup. Philadelphia 76ers is missing Joel Embiid, its top scorer, which lowers its offensive ceiling.

Key factors

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 7.89
+7.3%
Away three-point percentage (5g)
Value: 0.28
+2.5%
home elo
Value: 1755.40
+2.0%

Game info

DateApr 21, 2026
MatchupPHI @ BOS
Model pickBOS
Confidence81%
Home win prob81%
Game ID0042500112

Slate metadata

Slate dateApr 21, 2026
GeneratedApr 21, 6:48 PM
Games in slate3