Apr 26, 2026playoff
BOS
Boston Celtics
VS@
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
BOS 58%42% PHI
Model pick
BOS (58% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-9.5%)
Narrative
The model gives Boston a 58% edge on the road — not a blowout call, but a clear lean. Boston has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Philadelphia has been shooting -4.1% from three recently, stretching defenses. Philadelphia 76ers is missing Joel Embiid, its top scorer, which lowers its offensive ceiling.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -7.04
-9.5%
Three-point percentage diff (20g)
Value: -0.04
+2.3%
home elo
Value: 1589.80
+2.2%
Game info
DateApr 26, 2026
MatchupBOS @ PHI
Model pickBOS
Confidence58%
Home win prob42%
Game ID0042500114
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 26, 2026
GeneratedApr 26, 9:33 PM
Games in slate4