Apr 28, 2026playoffTier-one edge
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
VS@
BOS
Boston Celtics
PHI 24%76% BOS
Model pick
BOS (76% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+6.4%)
Narrative
This is one of the stronger calls on the slate — Boston at 76% at home. Boston has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Boston carries a stronger Elo rating (197), reflecting a higher overall caliber of play. Boston holds a defensive edge, allowing -5.7 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 10.48
+6.4%
elo diff
Value: 197.21
+2.7%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -5.70
+2.3%
Game info
DateApr 28, 2026
MatchupPHI @ BOS
Model pickBOS
Confidence76%
Home win prob76%
Game ID0042500115
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 28, 2026
GeneratedApr 28, 9:33 PM
Games in slate3