Apr 30, 2026playoff
BOS
Boston Celtics
VS@
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
BOS 41%59% PHI
Model pick
PHI (59% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-7.1%)
Narrative
The model gives Philadelphia a 59% edge at home — not a blowout call, but a clear lean. Boston has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Philadelphia is only giving it away -1.0 times per game, keeping possessions clean.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -8.35
-7.1%
Turnovers diff (20g)
Value: -1.05
+3.8%
Away points allowed (20g)
Value: 106.45
+2.0%
Game info
DateApr 30, 2026
MatchupBOS @ PHI
Model pickPHI
Confidence59%
Home win prob59%
Game ID0042500116
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 30, 2026
GeneratedApr 30, 9:33 PM
Games in slate4