May 2, 2026playoffTier-one edge
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
VS@
BOS
Boston Celtics
PHI 29%71% BOS
Model pick
BOS (71% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+7.8%)
Narrative
At 71%, Boston is a comfortable favorite at home in this matchup. Boston has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Philadelphia has been the stingier side recently, giving up 0.1 fewer PPG head-to-head. Boston is averaging 114.5 PPG over their recent stretch.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 5.70
+7.8%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: 0.10
-2.8%
Points allowed diff (20g)
Value: -6.25
+2.0%
Game info
DateMay 2, 2026
MatchupPHI @ BOS
Model pickBOS
Confidence71%
Home win prob71%
Game ID0042500117
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 2, 2026
GeneratedMay 2, 9:34 PM
Games in slate4