Apr 23, 2026playoff
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
VS@
TOR
Toronto Raptors
CLE 44%56% TOR
Model pick
TOR (56% confidence)
Primary read
elo diff (-4.5%)
Narrative
Toronto has a slight edge at home at 56%, though Cleveland is within striking distance. Cleveland's Elo rating of -130 marks them as the stronger squad on paper. Toronto holds a defensive edge, allowing -3.6 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window.
Key factors
elo diff
Value: -129.88
-4.5%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -3.60
+2.9%
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -0.33
-2.7%
Game info
DateApr 23, 2026
MatchupCLE @ TOR
Model pickTOR
Confidence56%
Home win prob56%
Game ID0042500133
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 23, 2026
GeneratedApr 23, 9:34 PM
Games in slate3