Apr 26, 2026playoffTier-one edge
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
VS@
TOR
Toronto Raptors
CLE 27%73% TOR
Model pick
TOR (73% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+12.3%)
Narrative
The model favors Toronto at home with a 73% win probability. Toronto has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Toronto holds a defensive edge, allowing -7.2 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. Cleveland is hitting 44.1% from deep in recent games, giving them an added dimension.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 3.11
+12.3%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -7.20
+2.0%
Defensive rating (points allowed per 100 possessions) diff (10g)
Value: -5.58
-1.3%
Game info
DateApr 26, 2026
MatchupCLE @ TOR
Model pickTOR
Confidence73%
Home win prob73%
Game ID0042500134
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 26, 2026
GeneratedApr 26, 9:33 PM
Games in slate4