Apr 29, 2026playoff
TOR
Toronto Raptors
VS@
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
TOR 53%47% CLE
Model pick
TOR (53% confidence)
Primary read
Points allowed diff (10g) (-4.0%)
Narrative
Neither team has a clear edge here. The model puts Cleveland's home win probability at 47%. Toronto holds a defensive edge, allowing 7.2 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. Toronto has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g).
Key factors
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: 7.20
-4.0%
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -2.35
-3.0%
Points allowed diff (20g)
Value: 5.55
-2.4%
Game info
DateApr 29, 2026
MatchupTOR @ CLE
Model pickTOR
Confidence53%
Home win prob47%
Game ID0042500135
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 29, 2026
GeneratedApr 29, 9:34 PM
Games in slate4