Primary read

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-11.7%)

Narrative

The model leans toward Oklahoma City (59%) on the road, but it is a competitive matchup. Oklahoma City has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Phoenix is dishing 23.6 APG recently — their ball movement has been sharp. Injury news has shifted the line toward Phoenix (+5% swing): PHX: 2 rotation players out (pts_share: 0.84). Phoenix Suns is down 2 rotation players, including Jordan Goodwin, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 84%, while oklahoma City Thunder is down 2 rotation players, including Jalen Williams, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 75%.

Key factors

Game info

Slate metadata