Skip to content
Apr 29, 2026playoffTier-one edge
PHX logo
PHX
Phoenix Suns
VS@
OKC logo
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
PHX 14%86% OKC
OKC logo
Model pick
OKC (86% confidence)

Primary read

elo diff (+10.0%)

Narrative

This is one of the stronger calls on the slate — Oklahoma City at 86% at home. By Elo (274), Oklahoma City is the more proven team heading into this matchup. Oklahoma City has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Phoenix has less travel wear heading in, with 840 miles on the road recently.

Key factors

elo diff
Value: 274.04
+10.0%
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 15.99
+6.6%
Home travel distance
Value: 840.14
-2.2%

Game info

DateApr 29, 2026
MatchupPHX @ OKC
Model pickOKC
Confidence86%
Home win prob86%
Game ID0042500145

Slate metadata

Slate dateApr 29, 2026
GeneratedApr 29, 9:34 PM
Games in slate4