Apr 29, 2026playoffTier-one edge
PHX
Phoenix Suns
VS@
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
PHX 14%86% OKC
Model pick
OKC (86% confidence)
Primary read
elo diff (+10.0%)
Narrative
This is one of the stronger calls on the slate — Oklahoma City at 86% at home. By Elo (274), Oklahoma City is the more proven team heading into this matchup. Oklahoma City has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Phoenix has less travel wear heading in, with 840 miles on the road recently.
Key factors
elo diff
Value: 274.04
+10.0%
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 15.99
+6.6%
Home travel distance
Value: 840.14
-2.2%
Game info
DateApr 29, 2026
MatchupPHX @ OKC
Model pickOKC
Confidence86%
Home win prob86%
Game ID0042500145
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 29, 2026
GeneratedApr 29, 9:34 PM
Games in slate4