Apr 26, 2026playoff
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
VS@
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
SAS 62%38% POR
Model pick
SAS (62% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-11.8%)
Narrative
The model leans toward San Antonio (62%) on the road, but it is a competitive matchup. San Antonio has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). San Antonio holds a defensive edge, allowing -0.1 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. Portland Trail Blazers is missing Damian Lillard, and its projected scoring availability is only 85%.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -5.62
-11.8%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -0.10
-2.2%
True shooting percentage diff (5g)
Value: -0.05
-1.8%
Game info
DateApr 26, 2026
MatchupSAS @ POR
Model pickSAS
Confidence62%
Home win prob38%
Game ID0042500154
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 26, 2026
GeneratedApr 26, 9:33 PM
Games in slate4