May 2, 2026playoffTier-one edge
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
VS@
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
POR 16%84% SAS
Model pick
SAS (84% confidence)
Primary read
elo diff (+10.0%)
Narrative
This is one of the stronger calls on the slate — San Antonio at 84% at home. San Antonio's Elo rating of 267 marks them as the stronger squad on paper. San Antonio has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Portland is only giving it away 12.8 times per game, keeping possessions clean.
Key factors
elo diff
Value: 266.75
+10.0%
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 9.77
+8.0%
Away turnovers (5g)
Value: 12.80
-2.2%
Game info
DateMay 2, 2026
MatchupPOR @ SAS
Model pickSAS
Confidence84%
Home win prob84%
Game ID0042500157
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 2, 2026
GeneratedMay 2, 9:34 PM
Games in slate4