Apr 25, 2026playoff
DEN
Denver Nuggets
VS@
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
DEN 62%38% MIN
Model pick
DEN (62% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-12.6%)
Narrative
Denver has a slight edge on the road at 62%, though Minnesota is within striking distance. Denver has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Denver has been the stingier side recently, giving up 1.3 fewer PPG head-to-head.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -6.56
-12.6%
playoff reg h2h home margin avg
Value: -4.75
-2.2%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: 1.30
-2.0%
Game info
DateApr 25, 2026
MatchupDEN @ MIN
Model pickDEN
Confidence62%
Home win prob38%
Game ID0042500164
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 25, 2026
GeneratedApr 25, 9:34 PM
Games in slate4