May 2, 2026playoff
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
VS@
DEN
Denver Nuggets
MIN 37%63% DEN
Model pick
DEN (63% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+6.1%)
Narrative
Denver has a slight edge at home at 63%, though Minnesota is within striking distance. Denver has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Minnesota has been the stingier side recently, giving up 0.9 fewer PPG head-to-head.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 1.70
+6.1%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: 0.90
-2.0%
away elo
Value: 1646.57
-1.9%
Game info
DateMay 2, 2026
MatchupMIN @ DEN
Model pickDEN
Confidence63%
Home win prob63%
Game ID0042500167
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 2, 2026
GeneratedMay 2, 9:34 PM
Games in slate4