May 7, 2026playoffTier-one edge
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
VS@
DET
Detroit Pistons
CLE 23%77% DET
Model pick
DET (77% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+7.3%)
Narrative
The model is fairly confident in Detroit, giving them a 77% chance to win at home. Detroit has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Detroit has been the stingier side recently, giving up -11.7 fewer PPG head-to-head. Detroit has been putting up 107.9 PPG lately, keeping defenses on their heels.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 6.66
+7.3%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -11.70
+2.7%
Home points scored (10g)
Value: 107.90
+2.0%
Game info
DateMay 7, 2026
MatchupCLE @ DET
Model pickDET
Confidence77%
Home win prob77%
Game ID0042500202
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 7, 2026
GeneratedMay 7, 9:35 PM
Games in slate2