May 11, 2026playoff
DET
Detroit Pistons
VS@
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
DET 60%40% CLE
Model pick
DET (60% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-11.8%)
Narrative
The model leans toward Detroit (60%) on the road, but it is a competitive matchup. Detroit has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Detroit has been locking in defensively, holding opponents to 97.4 PPG recently.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -7.63
-11.8%
Away points allowed (5g)
Value: 97.40
-4.8%
elo diff
Value: -103.67
-4.7%
Game info
DateMay 11, 2026
MatchupDET @ CLE
Model pickDET
Confidence60%
Home win prob40%
Game ID0042500204
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 11, 2026
GeneratedMay 11, 9:33 PM
Games in slate2