May 13, 2026playoffTier-one edge
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
VS@
DET
Detroit Pistons
CLE 25%75% DET
Model pick
DET (75% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+9.3%)
Narrative
The model favors Detroit at home with a 75% win probability. Detroit has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Detroit holds a defensive edge, allowing -9.0 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. By Elo (1650), Cleveland is the more proven team heading into this matchup.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 4.94
+9.3%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -9.00
+3.5%
away elo
Value: 1650.24
-1.6%
Game info
DateMay 13, 2026
MatchupCLE @ DET
Model pickDET
Confidence75%
Home win prob75%
Game ID0042500205
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 13, 2026
GeneratedMay 13, 9:34 PM
Games in slate1