May 4, 2026playoffTier-one edge
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
VS@
NYK
New York Knicks
PHI 23%77% NYK
Model pick
NYK (77% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+7.9%)
Narrative
The model is fairly confident in New York, giving them a 77% chance to win at home. New York has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). New York holds a defensive edge, allowing -2.5 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window. New York is dishing 23.4 APG recently — their ball movement has been sharp.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 8.86
+7.9%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -2.50
+2.0%
Away assists (20g)
Value: 23.40
+1.7%
Game info
DateMay 4, 2026
MatchupPHI @ NYK
Model pickNYK
Confidence77%
Home win prob77%
Game ID0042500211
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 4, 2026
GeneratedMay 4, 9:33 PM
Games in slate1