May 6, 2026playoffTier-one edge
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
VS@
NYK
New York Knicks
PHI 20%80% NYK
Model pick
NYK (80% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+6.9%)
Narrative
New York is a heavy favorite at home at 80%. The model sees a significant gap between these two teams. New York has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). New York has been the stingier side recently, giving up -7.5 fewer PPG head-to-head. New York is averaging 116.5 PPG over their recent stretch. Philadelphia 76ers is missing Joel Embiid, its top scorer, which lowers its offensive ceiling.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 13.07
+6.9%
Assist share availability diff
Value: 0.23
+2.2%
Home net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) (10g)
Value: 16.02
+2.1%
Game info
DateMay 6, 2026
MatchupPHI @ NYK
Model pickNYK
Confidence80%
Home win prob80%
Game ID0042500212
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 6, 2026
GeneratedMay 6, 9:33 PM
Games in slate2