May 8, 2026playoff
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
VS@
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
SAS 53%47% MIN
Model pick
SAS (53% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-10.6%)
Narrative
This is essentially a coin-flip — the model gives Minnesota a 47% chance at home. San Antonio has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). By Elo (1654), Minnesota is the more proven team heading into this matchup.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -14.47
-10.6%
home elo
Value: 1653.93
+3.4%
Away points allowed (5g)
Value: 99.00
-3.4%
Game info
DateMay 8, 2026
MatchupSAS @ MIN
Model pickSAS
Confidence53%
Home win prob47%
Game ID0042500233
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 8, 2026
GeneratedMay 8, 9:33 PM
Games in slate2