May 21, 2026playoffTier-one edge
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
VS@
NYK
New York Knicks
CLE 10%90% NYK
Model pick
NYK (90% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+3.4%)
Narrative
New York is a heavy favorite at home at 90%. The model sees a significant gap between these two teams. New York has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). New York is shooting 51.8% from the field lately, one of the more efficient marks in their recent stretch. New York holds a defensive edge, allowing -6.9 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 9.75
+3.4%
Home field goal percentage (10g)
Value: 0.52
+2.9%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: -6.90
+1.9%
Game info
DateMay 21, 2026
MatchupCLE @ NYK
Model pickNYK
Confidence90%
Home win prob90%
Game ID0042500302
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 21, 2026
GeneratedMay 21, 9:33 PM
Games in slate1