May 18, 2026playoffTier-one edge
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
VS@
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
SAS 30%70% OKC
Model pick
OKC (70% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (+3.6%)
Narrative
At 70%, Oklahoma City is a comfortable favorite at home in this matchup. Oklahoma City has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). San Antonio holds a defensive edge, allowing 7.0 fewer PPG than their opponent in this window.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: 1.00
+3.6%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: 7.00
-3.3%
Rebounds diff (5g)
Value: -12.40
+2.4%
Game info
DateMay 18, 2026
MatchupSAS @ OKC
Model pickOKC
Confidence70%
Home win prob70%
Game ID0042500311
Slate metadata
Slate dateMay 18, 2026
GeneratedMay 18, 6:47 PM
Games in slate1