Primary read

Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-3.2%)

Narrative

The model gives Oklahoma City a 60% edge at home — not a blowout call, but a clear lean. San Antonio has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Oklahoma City has been putting up 109.0 PPG lately, keeping defenses on their heels. Injury news has shifted the line toward San Antonio (-2% swing): OKC: 2 rotation players out (pts_share: 0.78). Oklahoma City Thunder is down 2 rotation players, including Jalen Williams, which lowers its expected scoring availability to 78%.

Key factors

Game info

Slate metadata