Apr 17, 2026playinTier-one edge
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
VS@
ORL
Orlando Magic
CHA 72%28% ORL
Model pick
CHA (72% confidence)
Primary read
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g) (-14.0%)
Narrative
Charlotte looks solid on the road — the model gives them a 72% chance to take this one. Charlotte has an edge in net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g). Charlotte has been the stingier side recently, giving up 7.3 fewer PPG head-to-head. By Elo (-123), Charlotte is the more proven team heading into this matchup.
Key factors
Net rating (offensive minus defensive rating) diff (20g)
Value: -9.12
-14.0%
Points allowed diff (10g)
Value: 7.30
-2.7%
elo diff
Value: -123.20
-2.4%
Game info
DateApr 17, 2026
MatchupCHA @ ORL
Model pickCHA
Confidence72%
Home win prob28%
Game ID0052500201
Slate metadata
Slate dateApr 17, 2026
GeneratedApr 17, 9:33 PM
Games in slate2